Epidemiologic factors in relation to colorectal cancer risk and survival by genotoxic colibactin mutational signature.
- Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, WA, United States.
- University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
- Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, United States.
- University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia.
- Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States.
- Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, United States.
- American Cancer Society, Kennesaw, GA, United States.
- University of Melbourne, University of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
- Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
- Cancer Council Victoria, East Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
- Cancer Council Victoria, Melbourne, Australia.
- Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
- National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, United States.
- Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, United States.
- Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, United States.
- Washington University in St. Louis, St Louis, Missouri, United States.
- Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, United States.
- University of Connecticut Health Center, Boston, MA, United States.
- Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, United States.
- Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, United States.
- Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Rochester, MN, United States.
- City Of Hope National Medical Center, Duarte, CA, United States.
- Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.
- International Agency For Research On Cancer, Lyon Cedex 08, France.
- German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany.
- Catalan Institute of Oncology, Hopitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain.
- International Agency For Research On Cancer, Lyon, France.
- American Cancer Society, Atlanta, GA, United States.
- Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, United States.
- Institut d'Investigació Biomédica de Bellvitge, Barcelona, Spain.
- Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, Washington, United States.
- The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, United States.
- Ontario Institute for Cancer Research, Toronto, Canada.
- Ontario Institute for Cancer Research, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
BACKGROUND: The genotoxin colibactin causes a tumor single base substitution (SBS) mutational signature, SBS88. It is unknown whether epidemiologic factors association with colorectal cancer (CRC) risk and survival differ by SBS88.
METHODS: Within the Genetic Epidemiology of Colorectal Cancer Consortium and Colon Cancer Family Registry, we measured SBS88 in 4,308 microsatellite stable/microsatellite instability low tumors. Associations of epidemiologic factors with CRC risk by SBS88 were assessed using multinomial regression (N=4,308 cases, 14,192 controls; cohort-only cases N=1,911), and with CRC-specific survival using Cox proportional hazards regression (N=3,465 cases).
RESULTS: 392 (9%) tumors were SBS88 positive. Among all cases, the highest quartile of fruit intake was associated with lower risk of SBS88-positive CRC than SBS88-negative CRC [odds ratio (OR) = 0.53, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.37, 0.76; OR = 0.75, 95% CI 0.66, 0.85, respectively, Pheterogeneity = 0.047]. Among cohort studies, associations of BMI, alcohol, and fruit intake with CRC risk differed by SBS88. BMI ≥30 kg/m2 was associated with worse CRC-specific survival among those SBS88-positive [hazard ratio (HR) = 3.40, 95% CI 1.47, 7.84], but not among those SBS88-negative (HR = 0.97, 95% CI 0.78, 1.21, Pheterogeneity = 0.066).
CONCLUSIONS: Most epidemiologic factors did not differ by SBS88 for CRC risk or survival. Higher BMI may be associated with worse CRC-specific survival among those SBS88-positive, however validation is needed in samples with whole-genome or exome sequencing available.
IMPACT: This study highlights the importance of identification of tumor phenotypes related to CRC and understanding potential heterogeneity for risk and survival.