Genetically Predicted Circulating C-Reactive Protein Concentration and Colorectal Cancer Survival: A Mendelian Randomization Consortium Study.
- Public Health Sciences Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington.
- Division of Medical Oncology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
- Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland.
- Department of Clinical Pathology, Colorectal Oncogenomics Group, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia.
- Department of Population Science, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, Geogia.
- Center for Public Health Genomics, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia.
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.
- Lunenfeld Tanenbaum Research Institute, Mount Sinai Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
- Cancer Epidemiology Division, Cancer Council Victoria, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
- West Virginia University Cancer Institute, Morgantown, West Virginia.
- Nutrition and Metabolism Section, International Agency for Research on Cancer, World Health Organization, Lyon, France.
- Center for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
- Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts.
- Clinical and Translational Epidemiology Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
- Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, Mayo Clinic, Scottsdale, Arizona.
- Department of Medicine and Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
- Department of Health Science Research, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah.
- Epidemiology Program, University of Hawaii Cancer Center, Honolulu, Hawaii.
- Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.
- Public Health Sciences Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington. pnewcomb@fredhutch.org.
BACKGROUND: A positive association between circulating C-reactive protein (CRP) and colorectal cancer survival was reported in observational studies, which are susceptible to unmeasured confounding and reverse causality. We used a Mendelian randomization approach to evaluate the association between genetically predicted CRP concentrations and colorectal cancer-specific survival.
METHODS: We used individual-level data for 16,918 eligible colorectal cancer cases of European ancestry from 15 studies within the International Survival Analysis of Colorectal Cancer Consortium. We calculated a genetic-risk score based on 52 CRP-associated genetic variants identified from genome-wide association studies. Because of the non-collapsibility of hazard ratios from Cox proportional hazards models, we used the additive hazards model to calculate hazard differences (HD) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between genetically predicted CRP concentrations and colorectal cancer-specific survival, overall and by stage at diagnosis and tumor location. Analyses were adjusted for age at diagnosis, sex, body mass index, genotyping platform, study, and principal components.
RESULTS: Of the 5,395 (32%) deaths accrued over up to 10 years of follow-up, 3,808 (23%) were due to colorectal cancer. Genetically predicted CRP concentration was not associated with colorectal cancer-specific survival (HD, -1.15; 95% CI, -2.76 to 0.47 per 100,000 person-years; P = 0.16). Similarly, no associations were observed in subgroup analyses by stage at diagnosis or tumor location.
CONCLUSIONS: Despite adequate power to detect moderate associations, our results did not support a causal effect of circulating CRP concentrations on colorectal cancer-specific survival.
IMPACT: Future research evaluating genetically determined levels of other circulating inflammatory biomarkers (i.e., IL6) with colorectal cancer survival outcomes is needed.
- PLCO-101: Genome-Wide Predictors of Survival in Colorectal Cancer (Polly Newcomb - 2014)