Recurrence After Surgery for Non-small-cell Lung Cancer in the National Lung Screening Trial.
- Division of Thoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
- Department of Medicine, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.
- Department of Surgery, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
- Division of Thoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA. Electronic address: cjyang@mgh.harvard.edu.
BACKGROUND: To evaluate patterns, predictors, and long-term outcomes of recurrent disease after complete resection for early-stage non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) using the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST).
METHODS: The frequency of recurrence in patients with pathologic stage I-II NSCLC who underwent complete resection (lobectomy or bilobectomy) in the NLST were evaluated. Predictors of increased risk of recurrence were assessed using Fine-Gray competing risks regression. Overall survival of patients with and without recurrence were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method.
RESULTS: Of the 497 patients meeting study inclusion criteria, 94 experienced a recurrence-a rate of 4.9 (95% CI: 4.0 to 6.0) per 100 person-years. The 5-year cumulative incidence of recurrence was 20.1% (95% CI: 16.5% to 23.9%). The majority of patients experienced recurrences at distant sites alone (n=47, 50.0%) or at both locoregional and distant sites (n=30, 31.9%). The median time from surgery to recurrence was 18.8 (10.6-30.7) months. In multivariable-adjusted analysis, compared to lung cancers detected via LDCT screening, lung cancers detected via chest x-ray and lung cancers detected during follow-up were associated with a similar risk of recurrence. Median survival of patients with pathologic stage I and II disease who had recurrences at locoregional, distant, or both sites was 63.0, 23.1, and 9.8 months and 28.9, 8.7, and 10.2 months, respectively.
CONCLUSIONS: In this analysis of NLST participants with completely resected stage I-II NSCLC, the 5-year cumulative incidence of recurrence was 20%. Nearly 82% of recurrences were at distant sites and were associated with poor survival.
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