Microsimulation model for lung cancer screening in New Zealand
A microsimulation model has been created that generates the natural history of lung cancer for individuals in the New Zealand population. The inputs were based on New Zealand Cancer Registry data and other published information. This first model mirrors the current situation in New Zealand, where there is no national lung cancer screening programme..
The next part of the project is to develop a microsimulation model that implements LDCT screening. We aim to use data from the NLST to create inputs for this second model. Key information from the trial includes treatment data and lung cancer mortality after screening. New Zealand's indigenous Māori population is not represented in the NLST. Therefore some adjustments will be made to the survival rates from the NLST trial to make them suitable for use in the New Zealand population.
- Develop and validate a microsimulation model for the natural history of lung cancer in the New Zealand population
- Analyse NLST data to obtain inputs for the next microsimulation model. Apply adjustments for the New Zealand population as appropriate
- Develop and validate a second microsimulation model that incorporates LDCT screening for lung cancer.
- Compare lung cancer mortality rates from the two models
Erandi Hasanthika Nanayakkara Halloluwage