The association of paraspinous muscle size and density and T12 vertebral bone mineral density and mortality in older adults
The archived cases from the National Lung Screening Trial includes low-dose CT scans from approximately 2352 subjects, age 70-74. Approximately 20- 25% of the cohort died during the course of the trial. This large cohort will allow us to investigate both cross sectional and longitudinal muscle and bone metrics and to determine if these metrics can be used to predict mortality.
Hypothesis Aim 1: Baseline CT measurement of muscle size is associated with mortality.
Approach Aim 1: We will measure paraspinous muscle size on baseline CT images at the level of T12 vertebra and determine the association with mortality. Secondary analysis will examine the effect of covariates such as self-reported activity level.
Hypothesis Aim 2: Baseline CT measurement of muscle density is associated with mortality.
Approach Aim 2: We will measure paraspinous muscle density on baseline CT images at the level of T12 vertebra and determine the association with mortality. Secondary analysis will examine the effect of covariates such as self-reported activity level.
Hypothesis Aim 3: Baseline CT measurement of BMD is associated with mortality.
Approach Aim 3: We will measure volumetric trabecular BMD on baseline CT images at the level of T12 vertebra and determine the association with mortality. Secondary analysis will examine the effect of covariates such as self-reported activity level.
Hypothesis Aim 4: Change in muscle size, muscle density, and BMD is associated with mortality.
Approach Aim 4: We will measure muscle size, muscle density, and BMD at the level of T12 vertebra on CT exams at year 2. We will determine the association of the change in the muscle and bone measures from baseline with mortality.
Caroline Chiles, MD., Wake Forest School of Medicine
Joel Stitzel, Ph.D., Wake Forest School of Medicine
Ashley Weaver, Ph.D., Wake Forest School of Medicine
Haiying Chen Ph.D., Wake Forest School of Medicine
Robert Boutin, MD., University of California, Davis
Barton L Wise, MD., University of California, Davis
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Machine Learning for Automatic Paraspinous Muscle Area and Attenuation Measures on Low-Dose Chest CT Scans.
Barnard R, Tan J, Roller B, Chiles C, Weaver AA, Boutin RD, Kritchevsky SB, Lenchik L
Acad Radiol. 2019 Dec; Volume 26 (Issue 12): Pages 1686-1694 PUBMED