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Statin Therapy To Reduce The Risk Of Recurrent Pancreatitis

Thirty-eight recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) patients were prescreened as eligible for the trial and were approached; however, 30 patients (79%) were not enrolled. Six RAP patients (4 women, 2 men) were randomized to simvastatin and 2 patients (2 men) to the placebo control between 2016 and 2019. The trial was closed for failure to recruit a minimum 50% of the recruitment goal. The resulting sample size was too small to draw conclusions regarding the study endpoints. Barriers to recruitment included stringent eligibility criteria and high prevalence of statin use in the adult population of the United States. Gallstone disease, continued chronic alcohol abuse, and concern about the complex study procedures were important barriers to recruitment.

Mean peak bicarbonate levels did not differ significantly between the simvastatin and placebo groups (P = 0.29) in intention-to-treat analysis (Table 1). After adjustment for treatment, visit, and treatment × visit interaction (P for interaction, 0.07), the difference remained nonsignificant. Although none of the results achieved statistical significance, the peak bicarbonate concentration (mmol/L) between the baseline and 6-month visit tended to decrease in the simvastatin group (mean [standard deviation], −8.2 [22.7]) but increase in the placebo group (mean [standard deviation], 5.5 [0.7]) (Table 1). The expression of 3 biomarkers, hepatocyte growth factor, resistin, and Fas ligand were differentially expressed (P < 0.05) between the simvastatin and placebo groups (Table 1).

This feasibility study provides important insight regarding the design of future trials in subjects with RAP. The selection of endoscopic pancreatic function test (ePFT) as a primary outcome measure should be avoided. Alternative study endpoints that are less invasive and more likely to attract patient interest in participation need to be considered. To complement health-related quality-of-life outcomes like pain alleviation, the use of validated imaging or molecular markers of progression, such as circulating cell-free mitochondrial DNA,7 must be further developed. Attainability of recruitment goals is an important consideration in future trials.

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